The Lincoln Plawg - the blog with footnotes
Monday, July 11, 2005
SCOTUS abortion ready-reckoner
The Times helps a little.
Essentially, overturning Roe v Wade requires a two vote swing compared with Planned Parenthood v Casey. Assuming Rehnquist goes - and O'Connor doesn't stay as Chief Justice  - that requires a slate of three sucessful conservative SCOTUS nominations.
Overturning Stenberg v Carhart, the Nebraska partial birth abortion case, needs only a one vote swing. And Ayotte v Planned Parenthood on a NH parental notification law is down for next term.
Gonzales, presumably, is more reliable on these adjectival abortion laws than on overturning Roe.
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