The Lincoln Plawg - the blog with footnotes

Politics and law from a British perspective (hence Politics LAW BloG): ''People who like this sort of thing...'' as the Great Man said

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Friday, April 29, 2005
 

North Korean missiles: nuke or not?


[CLARIFICATION]

I have absolutely no feel for the truth here. Clearly, since the DPRK is saying nothing reliable on the subject, we're looking at the quality of intelligence obtained by US (and allied) agencies.

On whose work several official reports have crapped over the last year or so.

Vice Admiral Lowell Jacoby seems to have gone off the reservation in his SASC testimony that the DPRK has the capability of arming a missile with a nuclear warhead.

But whether the error lies in the assessment, or in Jacoby having blabbed about it in public, is not clear.

I suspect that they only need one, and that they only need to get it as far as Japan [1], to trigger trouble worse than anything seen since World War 2.

But they could make pretty bad trouble with the conventional batteries aimed at Seoul right now.

  1. The Taepo Dong 2 or Taep'o-dong 2 (TD-2) apparently has a range of about 2,800 miles - Tokyo is around 800 miles from Pyongyang. The DPRK has other missiles, natch.


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