The Lincoln Plawg - the blog with footnotes

Politics and law from a British perspective (hence Politics LAW BloG): ''People who like this sort of thing...'' as the Great Man said

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Sunday, October 24, 2004
 

A handy guide for November 2


From Contrapositive. Suggests the signs to watch for as election night unfolds: Bush has to secure a commanding lead early on against Kerry's banker 55 EVs from California.

Thus
If, sometime between 8pm and 9pm, Kerry gets the call in both Ohio and Florida, it means George W. Bush is headed for the door. At that point only the Supreme Court will be able save him.

At 2000 ET, Bush needs 143 EVs, it reckons, whilst Kerry only needs 91.


MORE

Green Papers have a page detailing the closure of polls hour by hour and state by state (plus other useful stuff, natch).


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