The Lincoln Plawg - the blog with footnotes

Politics and law from a British perspective (hence Politics LAW BloG): ''People who like this sort of thing...'' as the Great Man said

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Wednesday, October 20, 2004

And the Dems who think Bush will win

According to the Washington Times today,
New polls by Gallup, Fox and ABC News have Mr. Bush ahead by eight, seven and five points, respectively. However, those same polls show the president leading by margins of 20, 17 and 23 on the question of who respondents expect to win the election.

And polls by Fox (!) and TIPP
Roughly one-quarter of Kerry supporters who have an opinion on the outcome of the election predict the Massachusetts Democrat will lose, according to polls by Fox News and the TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP). By contrast, only one of 18 Bush supporters who have an opinion on the outcome expect the president to lose.

Interpretation of the result is, not surprisingly, disputed.

(A similar phenomenon was long (is still?) found in polls in the UK on adopting the Euro: persistent substantial majorities wishing to retain sterling and opining that the Euro would eventually replace it.)

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